Scrapping the Assembly Gains 5 Point Boost in Latest Poll


The latest Welsh political barometer poll has shown a 5% increase in support for abolition.


The poll, commissioned by ITV Cymru and Cardiff University, had a sample of 1,021 Welsh adults aged 18+ and was carried out by YouGov from 29 May to 1 June 2020.


In the multiple choice constitutional question, support for scrapping the Assembly has risen by a remarkable 5%, making it still far more popular than independence. This makes abolition the second most popular opinion after the status quo:


No devolved government in Wales: 22% (+5)

Senedd with fewer powers: 5% (-3)

Leave things as they are now: 24% (no change)

Senedd with more powers: 20% (+2)

Independent Wales: 16% (+2)

Don’t Know: 12% (-4)

Refused: 2% (-1)


On a direct comparison between independence and abolition, the idea of no devolved Government in Wales was substantially preferred to independence. Remarkable considering the amount of time and money the likes of Plaid Cymru and YesCymru have ploughed into the campaign for independence:


No devolved government in Wales: 45%

Wales becoming independent: 33%

Don’t Know: 19%

Refused: 2%


The question “If there were a referendum tomorrow on abolishing the Senedd (Welsh Parliament) and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Wales abolish the Senedd (Welsh Parliament)?” also exhibited a marginal increase but showed that a quarter of Wales would still vote to scrap the Welsh Assembly:


Yes: 25% (+1)

No: 48% (+1)

Would not vote: 8% (no change)

Don’t Know: 16% (-1)

Refused: 3% (-1)



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